Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Who is the public blaming for the "Payroll Tax Fiasco:?

Let's just get real here. The ABC News article, which I share below, has a quote by Chuck Marr, the director of federal tax policy at the Center for BUdget and Policy Priorities. "If it doesn't happen, every paycheck in the country will do down on Jan 1. It's real money. Every person you see every hday as a thousand dollars less money. That's a lot of bucks."

Firstly, that of course is ridiculous. A person earning $50,000 a year will - over the course of a year - pay 2% more in taxes, or $1,000. A person earning $40,000 - not as much. $30,000, not as much. $20,000, not as much.

And the money isn't $1,000 taken out in one lump sum. $1,000 over 52 weeks = $19 extra a month. Hardly onerous.

Secondly...ever hear of retroactive tax breaks? Just as our politicians vote themselves retroactive raises all the time, so there's no reason why the US govt can't get its girdle in gear in January, decide to extend the payroll decrease for another year, starting in February, or March.

It's as Rush said yesterday... how are businesses supposed to deal with a 2-month payroll tax extension without knowing if it will be continued for the rest of the year...why not just decide to extend it indefinitely?

Now...how to pay for it? Well, decreasing the pay of politicians would be a start.

Here's what Rush had to say about the latest Wall Street Journal Editorial.
RUSH: I, El Rushbo, am being blamed for the House Republican so-called intransigence in doing what the establishment Republicans and the establishment Democrats want done with this so-called two month tax cut on the payroll tax. It's not even really a tax cut when you get right down to it.

The Wall Street Journal has an editorial today which just excoriates the House Republicans, and it's quite illustrative of the fact that the Journal is -- total defensive position here. The Journal's point is -- and we're gonna get into this in great detail. I'm gonna respond to it as we go 'cause I saw it last night, and it shocked me. And remember I've been saying for the past two weeks that nobody ever won anything defending it. We are in, on this argument with Obama, the Republicans in the Senate and the Republican establishment are in a total defensive posture here.

They are worried that the Republicans in the House are gonna see to it that Obama is gonna end up being seen as a big tax cutter, that the Republicans are being seen as opposed to the middle class having a little bit more money in their pockets. The Republican establishment is angry at the Tea Party freshmen in the House, and they're angry at conservatives in general. So we have that to break down, and that may take a while. It's a long editorial, and I want to go through it graph by graph and have some response to it. I'm gonna do my best in this to make the complex understandable.

ABC News had an article yesterday on "Payroll Tax Showdown: What it means to you"
After a bipartisan bill to extend the payroll tax cut for two months passed the Senate on Saturday and failed in the House Tuesday, lawmakers in Washington seem poised to hang their hats for the holidays tonight without extending the 2 percent tax cut.

If Congress does not act before Jan. 1, the average American would get a New Years gift in the form of a $1,000 tax hike.

Both parties have already agreed that the tax break should be extended, but a political stalemate revolves around how to pay for the $112 billion tax cut, which went unfunded last year and which both parties have vowed will not add to the deficit this time around.

If the temporary holiday is allowed to expire, as it is set to do on Jan. 1, 160 million workers would see their payroll taxes, which fund Social Security, jump back to 6.2 percent, meaning Uncle Sam would take an extra $1,000 from a worker who earns $50,000 in 2012.

“If it doesn’t happen, every paycheck in the country will go down on Jan. 1,” said Chuck Marr, the director of federal tax policy at the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities. “It’s real money. Every person you see every day has a thousand dollars less money. That’s a lot of bucks.”

Because payroll taxes are only collected on the first $106,800 of income, cutting the rate has the greatest impact on low and middle income earners, groups that tend to spend the largest proportion of their income.

“With the payroll tax cut, what is really at stake here is deciding whether or not to infuse $120 billion of disposable income into the economy in 2012,” said Andrew Fieldhouse, a federal budget policy analyst at the Economic Policy Institute. “It’s not the best way to create jobs, but it is the biggest jobs measure being considered by Congress.”

Both Republicans and Democrats agree that raising taxes on middle and low income earners is a bad idea in the midst of a fragile economic recovery. But the jury is still out on how big of an effect extending the current tax break will have on stimulating growth.

Republicans argue that the price tag is not worth the minimal stimulus effect, but Democrats claim it is necessary to keep the economy growing.

Curtis Dubay, senior tax policy analyst at the conservative Heritage Foundation, said extending the cut will have a “minimal if any impact on the economy.”

“Giving [the middle class] more money to spend for one year does not impact at all the type of productive activities that promote economic growth like saving and investing,” Dubay said.

The Congressional Budget Office estimated that for every tax dollar the federal government loses through the tax cut, about 30 cents to 90 cents will be added to GDP.

If Congress fails to extend the payroll tax cut, which has been in place since December 2010, Fieldhouse said economic growth would “filter out to a rate that is grossly inadequate” to rebuild the economy.

“Not a single economist out there says this has a negligible impact,” Fieldhouse said. “It’s real disposable income for working families and overall a lot of economic activity.”

But with 12 days remaining before the current cut expires and with Congress still entrenched in a face-off over how to fund an extension, the threat that there will be a lapse in the payroll tax cut looms as the clock ticks down to New Years.




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My Schedule of Regular Posts:
*Monday through Friday morning - schedules of President, VP and Secretary of State and her diplomats
*Monday through Friday afternoon - List of topics Limbaugh discussed on his program that day
*Monday through Friday throughout the day - My posts on anything that I feel like talking about. At least one or two a day, sometimes more.
*Saturday through Sunday morning - An addition to my booklist of political books - covering Democrats, Republicans and other interested parties.

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