Beware of the Erroneous Assumption
It is important to understand the distinction between an erroneous assumption and a stupid mistake. Simply being wrong by no means neccesarily involves an affront to sound reason. People may rely upon poor authority.
Many an erroneous assumption involves good reasoning rather than bad. There is some protection in remembering that we are entitled to make almost any reasonable assumption, but should resist making conclusions until evidence requires that we do so.
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