Someone Must Make it Clears that Polls are Lies

Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics.

RUSH: Did I not tell you yesterday, did I not make the case yesterday, and today it's borne out to be true. All of this inevitability of Barack Obama is manufactured. It started in The Politico, with two guys named John Harris and Jim VandeHei. They're the ones who got this whole ballgame running on, "Obama's inevitable. Obama got the great bounce." And, folks, it's all phony. There's nothing to it. Even the CNN poll that's out that's got Obama up six. It's a joke of a poll. The Democrat sample in this poll is absolutely unbelievably high. It is a joke of a poll. In fact, there's one aspect to this poll nobody's reporting. Of course they're not going to report this. In the CNN poll that has Obama up six, Romney is leading Obama in independents by 14.

Now, I'm just going to tell you something. If that holds up, and if on election day Romney wins independents by 14, we're looking at a landslide. It's not even going to be close. Well, I won't say close, but it's going to be big. If in a poll that CNN reports Obama is plus six but Romney is up 14 in independents, what does it tell you about the rest of the sample?

Folks, I told you yesterday, and I'm not trying to be falsely optimistic here by any stretch of the imagination. That doesn't get anybody anywhere. I have never been a false optimist. I've never been an optimist for the sake of it. But I'm telling you it's all manufactured. The Obama bounce for the most part is gone. I don't believe there ever was one. I think the polls were jockeyed and manufactured and made to look like it. This CNN poll, like I said, was released yesterday, shows Obama plus six. But it is so skewed. In fact, an analysis of this poll was done by a guy named Dean Chambers at the Examiner, and he says that it's doubly skewed. It massively under-samples independents and over-samples Democrats.

The CNN Opinion Research Corporation poll reports Obama at 52; Romney at 46. Unskewed the data reveals a 53 to 45 percent lead for Romney. If the poll were honest, Romney would be plus eight in the CNN poll. Not making that up. This new CNN poll, unlike many other analyzed, not only oversamples the Democrat voters, it massively under-samples independents, which produces a result that's more favorable to Obama. "This survey's sample includes 397 registered Republicans and 441 registered Democrats. But the survey included a total of 822 registered voters, leaving only 37 independent voters at most." Thirty-seven independent voters out of 822. That is a massive under-sampling. And in those 37, Romney's up 14. It's stunning.